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New Asteroid Discovered - Possible Collision Path With Earth
Sightings, August 19, 2001

It will make a relatively close pass to within .089AU on May 10, 2003. The first possible impact date calculated and the one with the highest probability of occurring is set for June 17, 2005. If it misses Earth on that pass there are another 28 possible impact dates calculated between 2005 and 2079.

Constitution Society, August 18, 2001

Sorry to be the one to break this news, but a new Earth Impactor Asteroid has just been announced by NEODys, and this one...

  1. Is very big
  2. Is on the same order of magnitude of impact probability as 2001AV43
  3. Will possibly impact the Earth in the very near future!

Let me introduce you to Asteroid 2001PM9.

The first possible impact date calculated and the one with the highest probability of occurring is set for June 17, 2005. If it misses Earth on that pass there are another 28 possible impact dates calculated between 2005 and 2079. Dear Readers, following are some facts that ought to set you right back in your chair, grow you some grey hairs - or cause a certain amount of lost sleep. If 2001PM9 impacts the Earth...

  1. It will be the kind of impact event that only happens once every 25,000 to 500,000 years.
  2. It will impact with a force of somewhere between 100,000 to 800,000 Megatons
  3. It will be somewhere between a "Large Sub-Global Event" to a "Nominal Global Effect Threshold" Event.
  4. It is estimated that an impact of this order would result in the loss of anywhere between 500,000 and 1.5 Billion lives (depending on exactly where it hit).

Ladies and Gentlemen, if and when 2001PM9 impacts the Earth...

If you worried a little about 1998OX4 and 2001AV43...be very concerned about this one. We really need to push the button on this one (get the word out and get a lot more information). ... Here is the NEODys pages: NEODys

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